Seasonal ARIMA for forecasting air pollution index: A case study

Muhammad Hisyam Lee, Nur Haizum Abd Rahman, Suhartono, Mohd Talib Latif, Maria Elena Nor, Nur Arina Bazilah Kamisan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

15 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Problem statement: Both developed and developing countries are the major reason that affects the world environment quality. In that case, without limit or warning, this pollution may affect human health, agricultural, forest species and ecosystems. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the monthly and seasonal variations of Air Pollution Index (API) at all monitoring stations in Johor. Approach: In this study, time series models will be discussed to analyze future air quality and used in modeling and forecasting monthly future air quality in Malaysia. A Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach was applied in order to analyze the API values in Johor. Results: In all this three stations, high values recorded at sekolah menengah pasir gudang dua (CA0001). This situation indicates that the most polluted area in Johor located in Pasir Gudang. This condition appears to be the reason that Pasir Gudang is the most developed area especially in industrial activities. Conclusion: Time series model used in forecasting is an important tool in monitoring and controlling the air quality condition. It is useful to take quick action before the situations worsen in the long run. In that case, better model performance is crucial to achieve good air quality forecasting. Moreover, the pollutants must in consideration in analysis air pollution data.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)570-578
Number of pages9
JournalAmerican Journal of Applied Sciences
Volume9
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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air quality
atmospheric pollution
time series
seasonal variation
developing world
pollution
index
pollutant
ecosystem
monitoring
modeling

Keywords

  • Air pollution index (API)
  • Air quality forecasting
  • ARIMA time series
  • Pollution data
  • Time series modeling

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

Cite this

Seasonal ARIMA for forecasting air pollution index : A case study. / Lee, Muhammad Hisyam; Rahman, Nur Haizum Abd; Suhartono, ; Latif, Mohd Talib; Nor, Maria Elena; Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah.

In: American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 9, No. 4, 2012, p. 570-578.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Lee, Muhammad Hisyam ; Rahman, Nur Haizum Abd ; Suhartono, ; Latif, Mohd Talib ; Nor, Maria Elena ; Kamisan, Nur Arina Bazilah. / Seasonal ARIMA for forecasting air pollution index : A case study. In: American Journal of Applied Sciences. 2012 ; Vol. 9, No. 4. pp. 570-578.
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