Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia

N. A. Elmunim, Mardina Abdullah, Alina Marie Hasbi

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Total Electron Content (TEC) is the main parameter in the ionosphere that has significant effect on the propagation of radio waves causing delay errors on the GPS signals. Therefore, identifying an effective forecasting method is important to reduce the GPS position error. This research aimed to use the statistical Holt-Winter method to forecast the ionospheric vertical TEC (VTEC) over Malaysia. The data were derived from the Department of Survey and Mapping Malaysia (DSMM) dual frequency GPS receiver located in three stations over Malaysia, namely the Kedah station at geographic coordinates of 6.46°N-100.50°E and geomagnetic coordinates of 3.32°S-172.99°E, Johor station (south of Peninsular Malaysia) at geographic coordinates of 1.36°N-104.10°E and geomagnetic coordinates of 8.43°S-176.53°E, and Terengganu station at geographic coordinates of 4.62°N-103.21°E and geomagnetic coordinates of 5.64°N-174.98°E, during March of 2013. Based on the result, the peak of the ionospheric delay for the diurnal hourly variation was at 17:00 LT, while the minimum was from 6:00-7:00 LT. There was no significant difference in the VTEC trend among the three stations. The Holt-Winter method provided an accurate forecast during the quiet and disturbed period. The maximum MAPE was 4.5% during the quiet day and 9.1% during the disturbed day.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages352-355
Number of pages4
ISBN (Electronic)9781509028894
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 27 Mar 2017
Event2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016 - Putrajaya, Malaysia
Duration: 14 Nov 201616 Nov 2016

Other

Other2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016
CountryMalaysia
CityPutrajaya
Period14/11/1616/11/16

Fingerprint

Malaysia
forecasting
ionospherics
positioning
Global positioning system
Statistical methods
stations
Radio waves
Electrons
Ionosphere
winter
position errors
diurnal variations
radio waves
ionospheres
electrons
receivers
trends
propagation

Keywords

  • GPS
  • Holt-Winter
  • VTEC

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Biomedical Engineering
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Hardware and Architecture
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Instrumentation

Cite this

Elmunim, N. A., Abdullah, M., & Hasbi, A. M. (2017). Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia. In 2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016 (pp. 352-355). [7888068] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAEES.2016.7888068

Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia. / Elmunim, N. A.; Abdullah, Mardina; Hasbi, Alina Marie.

2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. p. 352-355 7888068.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Elmunim, NA, Abdullah, M & Hasbi, AM 2017, Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia. in 2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016., 7888068, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 352-355, 2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016, Putrajaya, Malaysia, 14/11/16. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAEES.2016.7888068
Elmunim NA, Abdullah M, Hasbi AM. Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia. In 2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2017. p. 352-355. 7888068 https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAEES.2016.7888068
Elmunim, N. A. ; Abdullah, Mardina ; Hasbi, Alina Marie. / Improving ionospheric forecasting using statistical method for accurate GPS positioning over Malaysia. 2016 International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronic and Systems Engineering, ICAEES 2016. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017. pp. 352-355
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