Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method

N. A. Elmunim, Mardina Abdullah, Alina Marie Hasbi, Azami Zaharim

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The main cause of errors in the navigation of the Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite is the ionospheric delay. Therefore, ionospheric delay forecasting studies play an important role in the reduction of the positioning error. This paper focuses on forecasting of ionospheric delay using the statistical Holt-Winter method during the quiet and disturbed days in October 2011, using GPS Ionospheric Scintillation and TEC Monitor (GISTM), over the Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM) station at geographic coordinate of 2.55 °N, 101.46 °E. The forecast was carried out on the daily, hourly variation. Based on the result, the maximum difference between the actual and forecasting delay was 0.5 m and 0.6 m during the quiet and disturbed days respectively. The Holt-Winter method has been proven to effectively forecast the ionospheric delay with an accuracy of 95 % during the quiet days and 93% during the disturbed days.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages132-135
Number of pages4
Volume2015-September
ISBN (Print)9781479919406
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 29 Sep 2015
Event4th International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace 2015 - Langkawi, Malaysia
Duration: 10 Aug 201512 Aug 2015

Other

Other4th International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace 2015
CountryMalaysia
CityLangkawi
Period10/8/1512/8/15

Fingerprint

Global positioning system
Malaysia
Scintillation
cause
Navigation
Satellites

Keywords

  • GPS
  • Holt-Winter
  • Ionospheric Delay

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Communication

Cite this

Elmunim, N. A., Abdullah, M., Hasbi, A. M., & Zaharim, A. (2015). Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method. In International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace (Vol. 2015-September, pp. 132-135). [7283758] IEEE Computer Society. https://doi.org/10.1109/IconSpace.2015.7283758

Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method. / Elmunim, N. A.; Abdullah, Mardina; Hasbi, Alina Marie; Zaharim, Azami.

International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace. Vol. 2015-September IEEE Computer Society, 2015. p. 132-135 7283758.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Elmunim, NA, Abdullah, M, Hasbi, AM & Zaharim, A 2015, Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method. in International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace. vol. 2015-September, 7283758, IEEE Computer Society, pp. 132-135, 4th International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace 2015, Langkawi, Malaysia, 10/8/15. https://doi.org/10.1109/IconSpace.2015.7283758
Elmunim NA, Abdullah M, Hasbi AM, Zaharim A. Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method. In International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace. Vol. 2015-September. IEEE Computer Society. 2015. p. 132-135. 7283758 https://doi.org/10.1109/IconSpace.2015.7283758
Elmunim, N. A. ; Abdullah, Mardina ; Hasbi, Alina Marie ; Zaharim, Azami. / Forecasting ionospheric delay during quiet and disturbed days using the Holt-Winter method. International Conference on Space Science and Communication, IconSpace. Vol. 2015-September IEEE Computer Society, 2015. pp. 132-135
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