A SIR model for spread of dengue fever disease (simulation for South Sulawesi, Indonesia and Selangor, Malaysia)

Syafruddin Side, Mohd. Salmi Md. Noorani

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper, we study a system of differential equations that models the population dynamics of Susceptible, Infected, and Removed (SIR) vector transmission of dengue fever. The model studied re-breeding value based on the number of reported cases of dengue fever in South Sulawesi, Indonesia and Selangor, Malaysia. Using the SIR model and based on the rate of infection of humans, the spread of the dengue virus in both countries reached maximum levels in only a very short time. Theoretical and empirical calculations using the model were found to be suitable, and application of the SIR model showed similarities between the countries. However, the SIR model simulation indicated that dengue fever has not become endemic in either country.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)96-105
Number of pages10
JournalWorld Journal of Modelling and Simulation
Volume9
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - May 2013

Fingerprint

Malaysia
Simulation
Model
Population dynamics
Population Dynamics
System of Differential Equations
Virus
Infection
Viruses
Simulation Model
Differential equations

Keywords

  • Dengue fever
  • Endemic
  • SIR model
  • Stability
  • Threshold parameter

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Engineering(all)

Cite this

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