A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Dengue fever is prevalent in Malaysia with numerous cases including mortality recorded over the years. Public education on the prevention of the desease through various means has been carried out besides the enforcement of legal means to eradicate Aedes mosquitoes, the dengue vector breeding ground. Hence, other means need to be explored, such as predicting the seasonal peak period of the dengue outbreak and identifying related climate factors contributing to the increase in the number of mosquitoes. Simulation model can be employed for this purpose. In this study, we created a simulation of system dynamic to predict the spread of dengue outbreak in Hulu Langat, Selangor Malaysia. The main data input are rainfall, temperature and denggue cases. Data analysis from the graph showed that denggue cases can be predicted accurately using these two main variables- rainfall and temperature. However, the model will be further tested over a longer time period to ensure its accuracy, reliability and efficiency as a prediction tool for dengue outbreak.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series
PublisherInstitute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES)
Pages128-130
Number of pages3
Volume1
Publication statusPublished - 2011
Event2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Jakarta
Duration: 14 Dec 201114 Dec 2011

Other

Other2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011
CityJakarta
Period14/12/1114/12/11

Fingerprint

Rain
Dynamical systems
Education
Temperature

Keywords

  • Dengue fever
  • Prediction
  • Simulation
  • System dynamic

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering

Cite this

Ibrahim, A., Mat Zin, N. A., & Sahari @ Ashaari, N. (2011). A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak. In 2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series (Vol. 1, pp. 128-130). Institute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES).

A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak. / Ibrahim, Azmi; Mat Zin, Nor Azan; Sahari @ Ashaari, Noraidah.

2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series. Vol. 1 Institute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES), 2011. p. 128-130.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Ibrahim, A, Mat Zin, NA & Sahari @ Ashaari, N 2011, A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak. in 2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series. vol. 1, Institute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES), pp. 128-130, 2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011, Jakarta, 14/12/11.
Ibrahim A, Mat Zin NA, Sahari @ Ashaari N. A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak. In 2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series. Vol. 1. Institute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES). 2011. p. 128-130
Ibrahim, Azmi ; Mat Zin, Nor Azan ; Sahari @ Ashaari, Noraidah. / A simulation model using system dynamic for predicting dengue fever outbreak. 2011 Computation and Communication Technologies: 3rd International Conference on Advances in Computing, Control, and Telecommunication Technologies, ACT 2011 - Computer Science Series. Vol. 1 Institute of Doctors Engineers and Scientists (IDES), 2011. pp. 128-130
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